Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
ActiveLiquidity $14.8K·Volume $14.8K·Ends Feb 7, 2027
Price now:Yes77%No23%
Smart money leans
Yes
78% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
78%price78%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$761 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered76¢78¢at 04:13(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 87d(Feb 7, 2027)Liquidity$14.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $761 riding on it.
The price of 78% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 78¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $761 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $711 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $1,078 |
| 4w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $396 |