Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
ActiveLiquidity $17.0K·Volume $35.1K·Ends Aug 1, 2028
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,383 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,077
Smart money entered93¢99¢at 17:13(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 628d(Aug 1, 2028)Liquidity$17.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,383 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,383 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,077 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $750 |
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $749 |
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,606 |
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,606 |