Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $47.9K·Volume $20.1K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,845 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$81
Smart money entered90¢94¢at 07:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$47.9K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,845 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,845 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$81 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $81 |
| 3d ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $7 |
| 3d ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | title1Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | DragontreeMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $2,779 |