Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
ActiveLiquidity $59.1K·Volume $79.9K·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,403 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$364
72h +$2,830
Smart money entered94¢96¢at 07:35(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy19h agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$59.1K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,403 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,403 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$364, +$2,830 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19h ago | RockyZetMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $363 |
| 1d ago | RockyZetMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,226 |
| 1d ago | RockyZetMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,226 |
| 2w ago | AnjunMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $6 |
| 2w ago | AnjunMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $30 |
| 2w ago | AnjunMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $4 |
| 2w ago | AnjunMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | AnjunMid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $12 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 10w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $48 |
| 10w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $6 |
| 11w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $42 |
| 11w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 12w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 12w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $39 |