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Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

ActiveLiquidity $21.5K·Volume $25.4K·Ends Apr 18, 2027
Price now:Yes35%No66%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 17:11computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
65% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
65%price65%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,828 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered67¢65¢at 17:11(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 158d(Apr 18, 2027)Liquidity$21.5K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,828 riding on it.

The price of 65% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 65¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $2,828 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 17:11
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo60¢$120
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo55¢$7
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo62¢$31
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo66¢$66
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo68¢$95
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo68¢$41
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo70¢$177
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo62¢$8
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo62¢$0
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo62¢$17
3w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo68¢$5
5w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo67¢$102
7w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo68¢$48
7w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo68¢$88
7w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo68¢$24
7w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo68¢$4
7w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo68¢$130
7w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo67¢$67
7w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo66¢$66
7w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo67¢$556
7w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo67¢$42
8w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo67¢$10
8w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo67¢$9
8w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo67¢$5
8w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo70¢$28
9w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo66¢$17
9w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo66¢$66
9w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo70¢$70
9w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo71¢$71
10w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo71¢$140
10w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo71¢$2
10w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo72¢$75
10w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo72¢$22
10w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo71¢$262
11w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo71¢$162
12w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyNo68¢$68