Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
ActiveLiquidity $21.5K·Volume $25.4K·Ends Apr 18, 2027
Price now:Yes35%No66%
Smart money leans
No
65% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
65%price65%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,828 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered67¢65¢at 17:11(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 158d(Apr 18, 2027)Liquidity$21.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,828 riding on it.
The price of 65% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 65¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,828 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $120 |
| 6d ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $31 |
| 6d ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $66 |
| 6d ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $95 |
| 1w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $41 |
| 1w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $177 |
| 1w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $17 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $102 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $48 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $88 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $24 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $130 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $67 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $66 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $556 |
| 7w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $42 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $10 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $9 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $5 |
| 8w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $28 |
| 9w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $17 |
| 9w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $66 |
| 9w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $70 |
| 9w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $71 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $140 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $75 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $22 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $262 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $162 |
| 12w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $68 |