Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?
ActiveLiquidity $257·Volume $2,091·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,010
72h +$1,010
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 07:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$257
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,010, +$1,010 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $840 |
| 8h ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $36 |
| 8h ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $108 |
| 8h ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $11 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $184 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 5.9¢ | $0 |