Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?
ActiveLiquidity $3,444·Volume $2,143·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$907
72h +$907
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:45(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy12h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$3,444
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$907, +$907 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $492 |
| 12h ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $492 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $8 |