Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
ActiveLiquidity $12.3K·Volume $5,142·Ends Apr 18, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$523 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered91¢98¢at 11:42(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 158d(Apr 18, 2027)Liquidity$12.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $523 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $523 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $120 |
| 1w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $405 |