Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
ActiveLiquidity $307·Volume $13.6K·Ends Feb 11, 2027
Price now:Yes16%No84%
Smart money leans
No
71% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
71%price71%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,178 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered78¢71¢at 17:12(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 92d(Feb 11, 2027)Liquidity$307
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,178 riding on it.
The price of 71% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 71¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,178 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $12 |
| 6w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $2 |
| 6w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $889 |
| 7w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $7 |
| 7w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $222 |
| 7w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $34 |
| 7w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $164 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $9 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $9 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $9 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $5 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $175 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $88 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $41 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $49 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $76 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $16 |
| 9w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $123 |