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Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?

ActiveLiquidity $4,213·Volume $28.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes21%No80%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:45computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
80% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,210 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$16
72h +$997
Smart money entered79¢80¢at 07:45(59% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$4,213
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,210 riding on it.

The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 59% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $2,210 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$16, +$997 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:45
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agothefakenickMidSellNo80¢$17
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$24
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$24
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$113
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$10
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$10
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$37
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$37
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$138
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$138
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$59
1d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$59
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$59
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$59
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$3
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$3
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$3
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$90
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$11
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$65
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$15
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$75
2d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$12
3d agothefakenickMidBuyNo75¢$1
6d agothefakenickMidBuyNo80¢$176
6d agothefakenickMidBuyNo80¢$10
6d agothefakenickMidBuyNo80¢$400
6d agothefakenickMidBuyNo80¢$160
6d agothefakenickMidBuyNo80¢$40
6d agothefakenickMidBuyNo80¢$160
6d agothefakenickMidBuyNo80¢$9
1w agothefakenickMidBuyNo80¢$25
1w agothefakenickMidBuyNo80¢$101
1w agothefakenickMidBuyNo80¢$66
1w agothefakenickMidSellNo85¢$43
1w agothefakenickMidSellNo85¢$1,204
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$7
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$10
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$11
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$13
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$10
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$10
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$17
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$59
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$408
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$53
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$18
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$10
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$18
2w agothefakenickMidBuyNo82¢$34