Will Croatia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
ActiveLiquidity $1,177·Volume $2,607·Ends Apr 14, 2027
Price now:Yes32%No69%
Smart money leans
No
69% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$508 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered71¢69¢at 05:34(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 152d(Apr 14, 2027)Liquidity$1,177
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $508 riding on it.
The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $508 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $36 |
| 6w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 67¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 67¢ | $28 |
| 6w ago | crckrMid | Sell | No | 67¢ | $40 |
| 6w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $53 |
| 6w ago | crckrMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $38 |
| 7w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $411 |