Will Club América finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?
ActiveLiquidity $246·Volume $8,453·Ends Dec 28, 2026
Price now:Yes28%No72%
Smart money leans
No
72% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
72%price72%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,973 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$158
Smart money entered76¢72¢at 11:51(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 47d(Dec 28, 2026)Liquidity$246
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,973 riding on it.
The price of 72% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 72¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,973 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$158 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $75 |
| 2d ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $74 |
| 2w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $117 |
| 5w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $78 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $78 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $214 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $546 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $115 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $380 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $62 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $39 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $39 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $39 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $39 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $8 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $8 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $78 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $8 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $206 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $21 |
| 7w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $101 |
| 12w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 12w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 12w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |