Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?
ActiveLiquidity $179·Volume $18.7K·Ends Nov 5, 2026
Price now:Yes24%No77%
Smart money leans
Yes
24% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
66%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
24%price24%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$390 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered63¢24¢at 06:43(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesended(Nov 5, 2026)Liquidity$179
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "Yes", with $390 riding on it.
The price of 24% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 63¢; the price was 24¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $390 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 56¢ | $55 |
| 2w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | Yes | 55¢ | $28 |
| 3w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 61¢ | $189 |
| 5w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 35¢ | $113 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $11 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $3 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $11 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $6 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $11 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $11 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $320 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $325 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $10 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $7 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $8 |
| 10w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $22 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $40 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $63 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $64 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $10 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $25 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $3 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Sell | Yes | 70¢ | $2 |
| 11w ago | StudentMoneyMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $320 |