Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?
ActiveLiquidity $60.1K·Volume $29.5K·Ends Nov 29, 2026
Price now:Yes94%No7%
Smart money leans
Yes
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,840 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,870
Smart money entered92¢94¢at 07:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 18d(Nov 29, 2026)Liquidity$60.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,840 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,840 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,870 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | dsoperativeTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $328 |
| 2d ago | dsoperativeTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $579 |
| 2d ago | dsoperativeTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $920 |
| 2d ago | dsoperativeTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $3 |