Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?
ActiveLiquidity $23.3K·Volume $6,258·Ends Nov 29, 2026
Price now:Yes16%No85%
Smart money leans
Yes
14% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
14%price14%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$250 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered23¢14¢at 07:12(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 18d(Nov 29, 2026)Liquidity$23.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $250 riding on it.
The price of 14% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 23¢; the price was 14¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $250 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $416 |