Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $5,490·Volume $2,269·Ends Apr 18, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$902 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢98¢at 05:40(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 157d(Apr 18, 2027)Liquidity$5,490
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $902 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $902 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10w ago | 0x9cb9…7b80Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $42 |
| 11w ago | 0x9cb9…7b80Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $864 |