Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1,754·Volume $12.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes95%No5%
Smart money leans
Yes
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$523 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered86¢95¢at 07:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$1,754
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $523 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $523 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.