Will Cape Verde win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?
ActiveLiquidity $1,369·Volume $2,467·Ends Mar 31, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$608 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$432
Smart money entered90¢96¢at 07:57(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 136d(Mar 31, 2027)Liquidity$1,369
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $608 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $608 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$432 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:57
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0xd5a8…9793Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $407 |
| 3d ago | 0xd5a8…9793Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $204 |