Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
ActiveLiquidity $73·Volume $6,915·Ends Sep 7, 2026
Price now:Yes9%No91%
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$534 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,122
72h +$1,122
Smart money entered87¢91¢at 03:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Sep 7, 2026)Liquidity$73
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $534 riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $534 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,122, +$1,122 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $536 |
| 8h ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $534 |
| 9w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 2.0¢ | $6 |
| 9w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $66 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 64¢ | $21 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 7.3¢ | $40 |