Will Broad Front (FA) win the second-most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $1,603·Volume $151·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$4,396 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,874
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 06:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$1,603
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,396 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $4,396 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,874 on this position.