Will Broad Front (FA) win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $18.1K·Volume $5,660·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,962 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢96¢at 04:56(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$18.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,962 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,962 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:56
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $3,075 |