Will Broad Front (FA) win 12-14 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $2,561·Volume $1,374·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes45%No55%
Smart money leans
Yes
38% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
38%price38%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$162 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$379
Smart money entered22¢38¢at 02:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$2,561
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $162 riding on it.
The price of 38% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 22¢; the price was 38¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $162 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$379 on this position.