Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
ActiveLiquidity $1,951·Volume $39.4K·Ends Jan 13, 2027
Price now:Yes56%No44%
Smart money leans
Yes
66% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
66%price66%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$388 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered40¢66¢at 06:40(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 63d(Jan 13, 2027)Liquidity$1,951
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $388 riding on it.
The price of 66% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 40¢; the price was 66¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $388 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 45¢ | $155 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $66 |
| 6d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 47¢ | $196 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 53¢ | $145 |
| 1w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $33 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $612 |