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Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?

ActiveLiquidity $65.8K·Volume $30.1K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes33%No68%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:39computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
69% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
91%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,642 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,563
72h +$2,803
Smart money entered67¢69¢at 03:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$65.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,642 riding on it.

The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,642 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,563, +$2,803 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:39
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4h ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo66¢$726
4h ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo66¢$726
11h ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo71¢$710
13h ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo60¢$9
13h ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo60¢$9
14h agojustdanceMidBuyNo64¢$1
14h ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo65¢$13
15h agojustdanceMidBuyNo60¢$69
19h ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo58¢$254
19h ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo57¢$544
19h ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo58¢$254
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo51¢$3
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo54¢$72
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo54¢$72
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes46¢$79
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes46¢$79
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes44¢$122
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo59¢$2
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo54¢$9
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes57¢$163
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes57¢$291
3d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes56¢$1
4d agojustdanceMidBuyNo42¢$84
4d agojustdanceMidBuyNo41¢$488
4d agojustdanceMidBuyNo43¢$16
4d agojustdanceMidBuyNo43¢$51
4d agojustdanceMidBuyNo39¢$138
4d agojustdanceMidBuyYes54¢$526
5d agojustdanceMidBuyYes60¢$258
5d agojustdanceMidBuyYes54¢$570