Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on November 11?
ActiveLiquidity $4,771·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$118 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$257
72h +$257
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 06:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 21h 32m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$4,771
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $118 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $118 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$257, +$257 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2,113 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $69 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $20 |