Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 9-15?
ActiveLiquidity $34.2K·Volume $13.0K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes17%No84%
Smart money leans
No
84% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
84%price84%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,374 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,611
72h +$1,611
Smart money entered72¢84¢at 19:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$34.2K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,374 riding on it.
The price of 84% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 84¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,374 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,611, +$1,611 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 19:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $9 |
| 8h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 72¢ | $1,374 |