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Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?

ActiveLiquidity $84.3K·Volume $77.0K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes56%No44%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:24computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
56% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
62%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
56%price56%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$8,536 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,567
Smart money entered72¢56¢at 06:24(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$84.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $8,536 riding on it.

The price of 56% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 56¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,567 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:24
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
15h ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo50¢$211
15h agojustdanceMidBuyNo46¢$2
15h agojustdanceMidBuyNo45¢$148
15h agojustdanceMidBuyNo40¢$8
15h agojustdanceMidBuyNo40¢$8
17h agojustdanceMidBuyNo42¢$4
22h ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo33¢$280
22h ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo33¢$280
1d agojustdanceMidBuyNo33¢$21
1d agojustdanceMidBuyNo33¢$21
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo30¢$155
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo30¢$155
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo29¢$89
1d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyNo29¢$84
1d agojustdanceMidBuyNo30¢$1
1d agojustdanceMidBuyNo30¢$1
1d agojustdanceMidBuyNo35¢$225
1d agojustdanceMidBuyNo35¢$225
1d ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo31¢$153
1d ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo31¢$153
1d agojustdanceMidBuyYes60¢$56
1d agojustdanceMidBuyYes60¢$56
2d agojustdanceMidBuyYes70¢$2,100
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes70¢$5,069
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes75¢$1,832
2d ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyNo25¢$2,375
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes72¢$0
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes72¢$18
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes72¢$18
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes71¢$18
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes66¢$97
2d agojustdanceMidBuyYes63¢$0
2d agojustdanceMidBuyYes63¢$0
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes63¢$129
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes62¢$305
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes64¢$13
2d ago0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452MidBuyYes59¢$12
4d agojustdanceMidBuyNo14¢$150
4d agoRUDY2323MidBuyYes84¢$809
4d agojustdanceMidBuyNo16¢$21
4d ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7MidBuyYes82¢$411
4d agojustdanceMidBuyNo16¢$26
4d agojustdanceMidBuyYes79¢$91
5d agojustdanceMidBuyYes80¢$12
5d agojustdanceMidBuyYes77¢$25
5d agojustdanceMidBuyYes76¢$80
5d agojustdanceMidBuyYes76¢$80
5d agojustdanceMidBuyYes76¢$80
5d agojustdanceMidBuyYes76¢$80
5d agojustdanceMidBuyYes75¢$1,500