Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 November 9-15?
ActiveLiquidity $27.5K·Volume $66.8K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$5,810 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,107
72h +$6,107
Smart money entered95¢99¢at 00:53(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$27.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $5,810 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $5,810 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,107, +$6,107 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:53