Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in November?
ActiveLiquidity $74.1K·Volume $47.5K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes47%No54%
Smart money leans
Yes
47% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
47%price47%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$5,936 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,503
72h +$7,503
Smart money entered55¢47¢at 18:48(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 16d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$74.1K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $5,936 riding on it.
The price of 47% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 47¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $5,936 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,503, +$7,503 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $1,380 |
| 1h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $652 |
| 1h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 54¢ | $38 |
| 1h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 52¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 55¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $803 |
| 2h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $803 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $1,887 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $383 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $383 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $190 |
| 4h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $190 |
| 4h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $36 |
| 4h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $36 |
| 15h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $14 |
| 15h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $14 |
| 15h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $374 |
| 15h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $87 |
| 16h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $1,253 |
| 16h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $324 |
| 16h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $152 |
| 16h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $1,660 |
| 17h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $62 |
| 18h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $148 |
| 20h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $1,500 |
| 20h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $459 |