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Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in November?

ActiveLiquidity $74.1K·Volume $47.5K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes47%No54%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 18:48computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
47% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
47%price47%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$5,936 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,503
72h +$7,503
Smart money entered55¢47¢at 18:48(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 16d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$74.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $5,936 riding on it.

The price of 47% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 47¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $5,936 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,503, +$7,503 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 18:48
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agojustdanceMidBuyYes46¢$1,380
1h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyYes46¢$652
1h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo54¢$38
1h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyYes46¢$2
2h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo52¢$2
2h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo55¢$11
2h agojustdanceMidBuyNo53¢$803
2h agojustdanceMidBuyNo53¢$803
4h agojustdanceMidBuyYes43¢$1,887
4h agojustdanceMidBuyYes42¢$383
4h agojustdanceMidBuyYes42¢$383
4h agojustdanceMidBuyNo50¢$190
4h agojustdanceMidBuyNo50¢$190
4h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo49¢$10
4h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo49¢$10
4h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo49¢$36
4h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo49¢$36
15h agojustdanceMidBuyYes57¢$14
15h agojustdanceMidBuyYes57¢$14
15h agojustdanceMidBuyYes53¢$374
15h agojustdanceMidBuyYes55¢$87
16h agojustdanceMidBuyYes61¢$1,253
16h agojustdanceMidBuyYes66¢$324
16h agojustdanceMidBuyYes66¢$152
16h agojustdanceMidBuyYes66¢$1,660
17h agojustdanceMidBuyYes56¢$62
18h agojustdanceMidBuyYes74¢$148
20h agojustdanceMidBuyYes68¢$1,500
20h agojustdanceMidBuyYes69¢$459