Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 November 9-15?
ActiveLiquidity $46.9K·Volume $70.7K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$11.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$16.3K
72h +$16.3K
Smart money entered89¢98¢at 18:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 9h 9m(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$46.9K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $11.5K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$16.3K, +$16.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.4¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.4¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.1¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.2¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.3¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.9¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.2¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.8¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $2,002 |
| 5h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $408 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.1¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.2¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.1¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.2¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 4.2¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 5.4¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.8¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.8¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $71 |
| 6h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $71 |
| 7h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.8¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.2¢ | $0 |