TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in November?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $59.6K·Volume $92.6K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes67%No34%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 18:50computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
65% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
73%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
65%price65%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$5,655 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,588
72h +$5,594
Smart money entered57¢65¢at 18:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 15d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$59.6K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $5,655 riding on it.

The price of 65% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 65¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $5,655 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,588, +$5,594 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo35¢$1
1h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes63¢$2
1h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo38¢$2
2h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo38¢$2
3h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo38¢$2
3h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes62¢$3
3h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes61¢$3
3h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes59¢$3
3h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo40¢$2
4h agoTokorTopBuyNo35¢$105
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes63¢$2
4h agoTokorTopBuyNo35¢$105
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes63¢$2
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo36¢$1
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo36¢$1
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo36¢$2
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes63¢$3
4h agoCleanCoinFlipMidSellYes63¢$6
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo36¢$2
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes62¢$2
4h agoCleanCoinFlipMidSellYes63¢$3
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes63¢$3
4h agoCleanCoinFlipMidSellYes63¢$3
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes63¢$3
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo38¢$2
5h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo36¢$23
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo34¢$2
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo34¢$2
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes65¢$3
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes64¢$3
5h agoCleanCoinFlipMidSellYes65¢$24
5h agoTokorTopBuyNo29¢$301
5h agoTokorTopBuyNo29¢$301
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo29¢$1
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes70¢$4
5h agoTokorTopBuyNo29¢$296
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo29¢$1
5h agoTokorTopBuyNo29¢$296
5h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo28¢$478
5h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellYes71¢$961
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo28¢$1
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo29¢$1
5h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo28¢$159
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo30¢$2
6h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes72¢$4
7h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes72¢$4
7h agoTokorTopBuyNo26¢$100
7h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes73¢$4
7h agoTokorTopBuyNo26¢$100
7h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo26¢$1