Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $121.1K·Volume $769.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$74.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered96¢99¢at 04:53(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$121.1K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $74.1K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:53
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $13,620 |
| 4d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $66 |
| 5d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $284 |
| 1w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $2,952 |
| 2w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $4,830 |
| 2w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $800 |
| 4w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $3,118 |
| 5w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2,552 |
| 7w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $3,998 |