Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $80.4K·Volume $2.9M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$25.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 16:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$80.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $25.0K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $25.0K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 98¢ | $3,090 |
| 2w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,333 |
| 3w ago | 0xE699F5ceb43bd659909e4Ae8047d0d14a0CA8Dc2-1768415917057Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.5¢ | $107 |
| 7w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 98¢ | $624 |
| 7w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 99¢ | $242 |
| 11w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5,170 |