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Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $53.7K·Volume $73.1K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No94%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 16:27computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$11.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered72¢93¢at 16:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$53.7K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $11.0K riding on it.

The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $11.0K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 16:27
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
6d ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo90¢$964
1w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo88¢$179
1w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo88¢$344
1w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo82¢$176
2w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo82¢$1,554
2w agoTokorTopBuyYes12¢$269
2w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo72¢$82
3w agoTokorTopBuyYes24¢$40
3w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo75¢$1,543
3w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo74¢$732
4w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo68¢$109
4w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo67¢$173
4w agoTokorTopBuyNo65¢$2,223
4w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo65¢$203
4w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo65¢$361
4w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo62¢$49
4w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo59¢$92
4w agoTokorTopBuyNo58¢$12
4w agoTokorTopBuyNo59¢$316
4w agoTokorTopBuyNo58¢$58
5w agoTokorTopBuyYes39¢$16
5w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo59¢$2,003
5w agoTokorTopBuyNo55¢$0
5w agoTokorTopBuyNo56¢$0
5w agoTokorTopBuyNo65¢$74
6w agoTokorTopBuyNo66¢$99
9w agoTokorTopBuyYes23¢$9
9w agoTokorTopBuyYes23¢$5
9w agoTokorTopBuyYes23¢$5
9w agoTokorTopBuyYes23¢$5
9w agoTokorTopBuyYes23¢$5
9w agoTokorTopBuyYes23¢$6
10w ago0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7TopBuyNo75¢$1,542