Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?
ActiveLiquidity $4,572·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes50%No50%
Smart money leans
Yes
51% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
51%price51%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$131 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$263
72h +$263
Smart money entered60¢51¢at 06:28(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 21h 32m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$4,572
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $131 riding on it.
The price of 51% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 51¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $131 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$263, +$263 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $11 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $29 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $31 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $31 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $36 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $35 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $23 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $23 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $33 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $4 |