Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?
ActiveLiquidity $4,572·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes19%No81%
Smart money leans
No
81% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
81%price81%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,782 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,978
72h +$2,978
Smart money entered76¢81¢at 06:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 21h 31m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$4,572
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,782 riding on it.
The price of 81% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 81¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,782 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,978, +$2,978 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $15 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $15 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $16 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $16 |
| 1h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $182 |
| 2h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $2,574 |