Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 9-15?
ActiveLiquidity $31.1K·Volume $12.3K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes22%No79%
Smart money leans
Yes
26% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
26%price26%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$137 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$250
72h +$250
Smart money entered29¢26¢at 20:44(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$31.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $137 riding on it.
The price of 26% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 29¢; the price was 26¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $137 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$250, +$250 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $133 |
| 6h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $133 |
| 6h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $22 |
| 7h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $4 |