Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 November 9-15?
ActiveLiquidity $47.4K·Volume $59.4K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$14.2K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$17.2K
72h +$17.2K
Smart money entered99¢98¢at 18:48(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 33h 11m(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$47.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $14.2K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $14.2K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$17.2K, +$17.2K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $2,952 |
| 2h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $29 |
| 3h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $2,934 |
| 3h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $2,934 |
| 3h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $529 |
| 9h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2,967 |
| 9h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5,934 |
| 9h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5,940 |