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Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 November 9-15?

ActiveLiquidity $44.3K·Volume $48.2K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 18:50computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
97%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$9,501 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$11.1K
72h +$11.1K
Smart money entered92¢100¢at 18:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy17h agoResolvesin 9h 9m(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$44.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $9,501 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $9,501 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$11.1K, +$11.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.3¢$0
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.3¢$0
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.5¢$0
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.5¢$0
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.6¢$0
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.6¢$0
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.6¢$0
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.7¢$0
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.7¢$0
6h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
11h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes1.6¢$0
11h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes1.7¢$0
11h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes1.4¢$0
11h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
11h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
11h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
11h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
11h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes1.6¢$0
11h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes1.7¢$0
11h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes1.7¢$0
11h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes1.6¢$0
11h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.7¢$0
11h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.7¢$0
11h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.7¢$0
11h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.7¢$0
13h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.6¢$0
13h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.9¢$3
13h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.9¢$15
14h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.6¢$9
14h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes1.6¢$9
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes3.1¢$1
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes3.0¢$2
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes3.0¢$1
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes8.7¢$262
17h agoTokorTopBuyYes3.6¢$1
17h agoTokorTopBuyYes3.6¢$1
17h agoTokorTopBuyYes3.6¢$1
17h agoTokorTopBuyYes3.6¢$1
17h agoTokorTopBuyYes3.6¢$1
17h agoTokorTopBuyYes3.6¢$1
17h agoTokorTopBuyYes3.6¢$1
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes8.5¢$1
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes8.4¢$1
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes10¢$717
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes10¢$717
17h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo93¢$685
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo93¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo93¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo93¢$5
17h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo92¢$689