Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 November 9-15?
ActiveLiquidity $42.2K·Volume $35.5K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,580 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,215
72h +$2,215
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 18:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 9h 9m(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$42.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,580 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,580 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,215, +$2,215 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $100 |
| 3h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $50 |
| 3h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $136 |
| 4h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $400 |
| 4h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $400 |
| 4h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 4h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $2,284 |
| 4h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $533 |
| 4h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $129 |
| 6h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $134 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 10h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.9¢ | $0 |
| 10h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 10h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 10h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 11h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.7¢ | $0 |
| 11h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 12h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $8 |
| 12h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.9¢ | $0 |
| 12h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.7¢ | $0 |
| 12h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 12h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 12h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $285 |
| 13h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $78 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.5¢ | $0 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $234 |
| 18h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $234 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Mid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $239 |
| 19h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 20h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.8¢ | $0 |
| 20h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.6¢ | $0 |
| 20h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.0¢ | $0 |