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Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 November 9-15?

ActiveLiquidity $42.2K·Volume $35.5K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 18:50computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,580 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,215
72h +$2,215
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 18:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 9h 9m(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$42.2K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,580 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $2,580 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,215, +$2,215 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo100¢$100
3h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo100¢$50
3h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo100¢$136
4h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo100¢$400
4h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo100¢$400
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
4h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo100¢$2,284
4h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo100¢$533
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.2¢$0
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.4¢$0
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.5¢$0
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.5¢$0
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.5¢$0
5h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.5¢$0
6h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo99¢$129
6h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo99¢$134
6h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
6h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
7h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
8h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.8¢$0
10h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.9¢$0
10h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
10h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
10h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
11h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.7¢$0
11h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.6¢$0
12h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo99¢$8
12h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.9¢$0
12h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.7¢$0
12h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.4¢$0
12h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.6¢$0
12h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo100¢$285
13h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo99¢$78
14h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.8¢$0
14h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes0.8¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo97¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo97¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes2.5¢$0
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes2.3¢$0
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo98¢$5
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo98¢$5
18h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo97¢$234
18h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo97¢$234
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
18h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo99¢$239
19h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo99¢$5
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes1.8¢$0
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes1.6¢$0
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes2.0¢$0