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Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in November?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $77.5K·Volume $60.2K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes11%No89%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 18:50computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
80%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$8,935 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$9,044
72h +$9,044
Smart money entered87¢90¢at 18:50Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 15d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$77.5K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $8,935 riding on it.

The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $8,935 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$9,044, +$9,044 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo88¢$77
1h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes10¢$3
1h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes10¢$3
3h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo92¢$222
3h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$3
3h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$15
3h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo92¢$222
3h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$15
3h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$3
4h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$3
4h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$15
4h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$3
4h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$15
5h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.9¢$168
7h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes8.0¢$1
8h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$3
8h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$6
8h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$1
8h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$1
9h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$3
9h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$15
10h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes9.0¢$83
10h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo91¢$354
10h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes8.0¢$2
10h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes8.0¢$2
10h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes8.0¢$2
10h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes8.0¢$2
11h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes11¢$0
11h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes11¢$0
12h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes11¢$47
12h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes11¢$47
13h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes11¢$36
13h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes11¢$36
14h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes10¢$14
14h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes10¢$14
16h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo90¢$250
16h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo90¢$114
16h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo90¢$4,054
16h agoCleanCoinFlipMidSellYes10¢$690
16h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes11¢$3
16h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes12¢$3
16h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes12¢$2
16h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes13¢$3
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes15¢$3
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes15¢$3
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes15¢$3
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes14¢$3
17h agoTokorTopBuyYes12¢$229
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes12¢$15
17h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes13¢$3