Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?
ActiveLiquidity $31.4K·Volume $18.0K·Ends May 30, 2027
Price now:Yes18%No82%
Smart money leans
No
82% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
82%price82%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,222 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,238
72h +$937
Smart money entered83¢82¢at 07:08(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy7h agoResolvesin 201d(May 30, 2027)Liquidity$31.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,222 riding on it.
The price of 82% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 82¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,222 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,238, +$937 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $39 |
| 7h ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $375 |
| 7h ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $413 |
| 7h ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $399 |
| 7h ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $56 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $108 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $56 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $108 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $150 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $150 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $44 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $43 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $232 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $20 |
| 3d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $50 |
| 3d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $25 |
| 3d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $34 |
| 3d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $230 |
| 3d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $8 |
| 4d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $16 |
| 4d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $7 |
| 4d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $19 |
| 4d ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $300 |
| 5d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $34 |
| 5d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $26 |
| 5d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $306 |
| 5d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $49 |
| 5d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $23 |
| 5d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $216 |
| 1w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 16¢ | $31 |
| 1w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 16¢ | $40 |