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Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

ActiveLiquidity $31.4K·Volume $18.0K·Ends May 30, 2027
Price now:Yes18%No82%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:08computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
82% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
82%price82%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,222 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,238
72h +$937
Smart money entered83¢82¢at 07:08(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy7h agoResolvesin 201d(May 30, 2027)Liquidity$31.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,222 riding on it.

The price of 82% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 82¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,222 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,238, +$937 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:08
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
7h agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$39
7h agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$375
7h agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$413
7h agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$399
7h agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$27
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$56
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$108
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$56
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$108
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$150
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$150
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$14
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$14
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$4
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$44
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$12
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$12
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$0
1d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$0
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$34
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$34
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$43
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$12
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$12
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$7
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$7
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$5
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$5
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$5
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$232
2d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$20
3d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$50
3d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$4
3d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$25
3d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$34
3d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$230
3d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$8
4d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$16
4d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$7
4d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$19
4d agomilkthedipMidSellNo84¢$300
5d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$34
5d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$26
5d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$306
5d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$49
5d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$23
5d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$8
5d agomilkthedipMidBuyNo83¢$216
1w agomilkthedipMidSellYes16¢$31
1w agomilkthedipMidSellYes16¢$40