Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
ActiveLiquidity $4,188·Volume $20.7K·Ends Jun 15, 2027
Price now:Yes31%No69%
Smart money leans
Yes
31% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
31%price31%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$575 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$24
Smart money entered34¢31¢at 07:43(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 216d(Jun 15, 2027)Liquidity$4,188
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $575 riding on it.
The price of 31% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 34¢; the price was 31¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $575 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$24 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $12 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 37¢ | $6 |
| 10w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 37¢ | $7 |
| 10w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 37¢ | $7 |
| 10w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 37¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 37¢ | $19 |
| 10w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 37¢ | $15 |
| 10w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 37¢ | $77 |