Will Barcelona reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?
ActiveLiquidity $7,216·Volume $4,270·Ends Apr 18, 2027
Price now:Yes55%No45%
Smart money leans
Yes
55% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
55%price55%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$466 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered52¢55¢at 06:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 159d(Apr 18, 2027)Liquidity$7,216
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $466 riding on it.
The price of 55% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 55¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $466 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $477 |