Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?
ActiveLiquidity $4,931·Volume $3,123·Ends Sep 1, 2027
Price now:Yes57%No43%
Smart money leans
Yes
57% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
57%price57%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$929 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$988
Smart money entered55¢57¢at 11:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 294d(Sep 1, 2027)Liquidity$4,931
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $929 riding on it.
The price of 57% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 57¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $929 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$988 on this position.