Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
ActiveLiquidity $6,995·Volume $10.4K·Ends Feb 28, 2027
Price now:Yes65%No36%
Smart money leans
Yes
65% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
65%price65%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$632 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered53¢65¢at 11:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 109d(Feb 28, 2027)Liquidity$6,995
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $632 riding on it.
The price of 65% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 65¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $632 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $13 |
| 3w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $78 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $53 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $12 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $12 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 59¢ | $18 |
| 7w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 58¢ | $13 |
| 7w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 58¢ | $12 |
| 7w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 58¢ | $12 |
| 7w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 58¢ | $77 |
| 7w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | Yes | 58¢ | $12 |
| 8w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $664 |
| 8w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $11 |
| 8w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $54 |
| 8w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $54 |
| 8w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $54 |
| 8w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $11 |
| 8w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $32 |