Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
ActiveLiquidity $1,682·Volume $8,418·Ends Mar 1, 2027
Price now:Yes50%No50%
Smart money leans
No
50% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$333 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered72¢50¢at 17:13(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 109d(Mar 1, 2027)Liquidity$1,682
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $333 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $333 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.