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Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $583·Volume $6,041·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:46computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$820 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered88¢99¢at 11:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$583
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $820 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $820 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:46
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1w agoyen4uMidBuyYes90¢$660
1w agoyen4uMidBuyYes85¢$65
1w agoyen4uMidBuyYes78¢$76
1w agoyen4uMidBuyYes75¢$23