Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $7,371·Volume $4,484·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes7%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$667 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered75¢93¢at 04:21(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$7,371
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $667 riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $667 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.