Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?
ActiveLiquidity $5,157·Volume $10.5K·Ends Mar 15, 2027
Price now:Yes10%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$358 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢90¢at 00:36(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 124d(Mar 15, 2027)Liquidity$5,157
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $358 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $358 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $358 |